\nMany Americans who were pushed out of pricey California moved to Nevada or Arizona in search of more affordable housing, perhaps registering as unaffiliated with a major party in the process. On the other side of the country, Florida pulled in many conservative people looking to live near others with similar views.\n<\/p>\n
SEATTLE–(BUSINESS WIRE)–#housingmarket<\/a>–(NASDAQ: RDFN) \u2014The Democratic party has lost more registered voters than the Republican party since 2020 in several states key to the upcoming Senate midterms\u2013but those states have gained Independent voters, who typically lean Democrat. This is according to a new analysis<\/a> from Redfin (redfin.com<\/a>), the technology-powered real estate brokerage, which looked at changes in voter registration data in six swing states over the last two years: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania.\n<\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n \nStates\u2019 voter registration trends are partly due to the wave of pandemic-driven relocation, with many remote workers moving from one metro to another in search of affordable home prices and\/or a likeminded community\u2013and bringing their political views with them.\n<\/p>\n \n\u201cPandemic-fueled migration has changed the political makeup of several key swing states,\u201d said Redfin Deputy Chief Economist Taylor Marr. \u201cHot-button issues like the economy and crime are playing a big part in this year\u2019s elections, making its outcome difficult to predict. But changes in voter registration, which are largely due to new residents who moved in from other places, offer one clue about how certain states will vote. The uptick in registered Democrats in Arizona and Nevada ahead of the 2020 election, due largely to people moving in from California, helped predict that President Biden would win those states.\u201d\n<\/p>\n \nIncrease in Independent voters in Nevada and Arizona could reflect liberals pushed out of expensive California\n<\/p>\n \nRegistered Democrats have lost ground in Nevada, but Independents have gained ground. Democrats make up 33% of Nevada\u2019s registered voters, down from 37% in 2020. Republicans make up 29%, down from 32%\u2013a slightly smaller drop. But Nevada has seen an uptick in voters registered as \u201cother\u201d (unaffiliated with a major political party). \u201cOther\u201d voters make up a plurality (37%) of Nevada\u2019s registered voters, up from 31% in 2020.\n<\/p>\n \nThe trend is less extreme in Arizona, where Democrats make up 31% of all registered voters, down slightly from 32% in 2020. Republicans have held steady at 35%. \u201cOthers\u201d make up 35% of Arizona\u2019s registered voters, up from 33% in 2020. Note that shares in this report are rounded to the nearest whole number.\n<\/p>\n \nThose increases could benefit Democrats because Independent voters\u2013who make up a significant portion of \u201cothers\u201d\u2013are more likely to lean left: 54% of Independents nationwide voted for Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 election, while 41% voted for Republican Donald Trump. Independent voters are unlikely to take much share away from Democrats or Republicans because while a growing share of Americans identify as Independents, most vote in line with one of the major parties.\n<\/p>\n \nThe uptick in \u201cother\u201d voters likely reflects many of the residents who recently moved into Nevada and Arizona from more liberal places, including newly remote workers. Arizona and Nevada were the second and third most popular states for people moving away from California in 2020. And Redfin\u2019s migration data shows that Los Angeles was the most popular origin for homebuyers moving to both Phoenix and Las Vegas. The typical home in both Las Vegas and Phoenix costs less than $450,000, roughly half of Los Angeles\u2019 $840,000 median sale price.\n<\/p>\n \nThe share of California voters registered as \u201cother\u201d has fallen by 0.4 percentage points since 2020, a bigger percentage-point decline than Democratic and Republican registrations, suggesting that some of the people who left California are \u201cothers.\u201d\n<\/p>\n \nBut some of Nevada and Arizona\u2019s new residents are conservative people sorting themselves\n<\/p>\n \nThe points in Democrats\u2019 favor could be offset by some people moving to areas that better match their existing political views.\n<\/p>\n \n\u201cAmericans often sort themselves into neighborhoods where people share similar views, which could help explain why Republicans lost fewer voters than Democrats in Nevada and Arizona,\u201d Marr said. \u201cSome of the people who left California for those states were probably frustrated by local responses to the pandemic, in addition to expensive homes and high taxes, and ready to move somewhere more conservative.\u201d\n<\/p>\n \nThe share of California voters registered as Republican has dropped 0.3 percentage points since 2020, a slightly smaller percentage drop than \u201cothers,\u201d while the share of registered Democrats has increased 0.8 percentage points.\n<\/p>\n \nNearly half (46%) of U.S. residents would feel hesitant about moving to an area where most residents have different political views from their own, according to an October Redfin survey.\n<\/p>\n \nMigration and self-sorting have contributed to Florida becoming more Republican\n<\/p>\n \nSelf-sorting is likely one reason why the Senate race in Florida, traditionally a swing state, is leaning heavily toward the Republican candidate. Registered Republicans surpassed registered Democrats there last year for the first time in history, largely due to migration. Republicans make up 36% of Florida\u2019s registered voters, unchanged from 2020, while Democrats make up 34%, down from 37% in 2020.\n<\/p>\n \nThe Sunshine State is pulling in right-leaning people from liberal parts of the country who want to live somewhere that better matches their political viewpoints. Miami and Tampa are two of the most popular destinations for relocating homebuyers, and liberal New York and Washington, D.C. are among the most common origins for people moving in.\n<\/p>\n \nPennsylvania\u2019s stability in \u201cother\u201d registrations is evidence that its rise in Arizona and Nevada may come from new residents\n<\/p>\n \nPennsylvania, another state with a tight Senate race, has seen its share of registered Democrats decline slightly since 2020, falling from 47% to 46%. Republicans have held steady at 39% of registered voters and \u201cothers\u201d have held steady at 15%.\n<\/p>\n \nPennsylvania isn\u2019t a hot migration destination\u2013in fact, more people left the state than moved in last year. Because it doesn\u2019t attract many new residents from out of state, voter registration trends in Pennsylvania provide a valuable comparison to those in Nevada and Arizona. Its share of registered Democrats has declined without a corresponding increase in registered \u201cothers,\u201d one sign that the uptick in \u201cothers\u201d in states like Arizona and Nevada is partly due to new residents.\n<\/p>\n \nTo view the full analysis, including charts and graphs, please visit:\n<\/p>\n \nhttps:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/migration-voter-registration-election-2022<\/a>\n<\/p>\n \nAbout Redfin\n<\/p>\n \nRedfin (www.redfin.com<\/a>) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, instant home-buying (iBuying), rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country’s #1 real-estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home can take an instant cash offer from Redfin or have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we’ve saved customers more than $1 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 6,000 people.\n<\/p>\n \nFor more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com<\/a>. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center<\/a>. To be added to Redfin’s press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com<\/a>. To view Redfin’s press center, click here<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n Contacts <\/p>\n
![<\/a><\/p>\n\nStates\u2019 voter registration trends are partly due to the wave of pandemic-driven relocation, with many remote workers moving from one metro to another in search of affordable home prices and\/or a likeminded community\u2013and bringing their political views with them.\n<\/p>\n\n\u201cPandemic-fueled migration has changed the political makeup of several key swing states,\u201d said Redfin Deputy Chief Economist Taylor Marr. \u201cHot-button issues like the economy and crime are playing a big part in this year\u2019s elections, making its outcome difficult to predict. But changes in voter registration, which are largely due to new residents who moved in from other places, offer one clue about how certain states will vote. The uptick in registered Democrats in Arizona and Nevada ahead of the 2020 election, due largely to people moving in from California, helped predict that President Biden would win those states.\u201d\n<\/p>\n\nIncrease in Independent voters in Nevada and Arizona could reflect liberals pushed out of expensive California\n<\/p>\n\nRegistered Democrats have lost ground in Nevada, but Independents have gained ground. Democrats make up 33% of Nevada\u2019s registered voters, down from 37% in 2020. Republicans make up 29%, down from 32%\u2013a slightly smaller drop. But Nevada has seen an uptick in voters registered as \u201cother\u201d (unaffiliated with a major political party). \u201cOther\u201d voters make up a plurality (37%) of Nevada\u2019s registered voters, up from 31% in 2020.\n<\/p>\n\nThe trend is less extreme in Arizona, where Democrats make up 31% of all registered voters, down slightly from 32% in 2020. Republicans have held steady at 35%. \u201cOthers\u201d make up 35% of Arizona\u2019s registered voters, up from 33% in 2020. Note that shares in this report are rounded to the nearest whole number.\n<\/p>\n\nThose increases could benefit Democrats because Independent voters\u2013who make up a significant portion of \u201cothers\u201d\u2013are more likely to lean left: 54% of Independents nationwide voted for Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 election, while 41% voted for Republican Donald Trump. Independent voters are unlikely to take much share away from Democrats or Republicans because while a growing share of Americans identify as Independents, most vote in line with one of the major parties.\n<\/p>\n\nThe uptick in \u201cother\u201d voters likely reflects many of the residents who recently moved into Nevada and Arizona from more liberal places, including newly remote workers. Arizona and Nevada were the second and third most popular states for people moving away from California in 2020. And Redfin\u2019s migration data shows that Los Angeles was the most popular origin for homebuyers moving to both Phoenix and Las Vegas. The typical home in both Las Vegas and Phoenix costs less than $450,000, roughly half of Los Angeles\u2019 $840,000 median sale price.\n<\/p>\n\nThe share of California voters registered as \u201cother\u201d has fallen by 0.4 percentage points since 2020, a bigger percentage-point decline than Democratic and Republican registrations, suggesting that some of the people who left California are \u201cothers.\u201d\n<\/p>\n\nBut some of Nevada and Arizona\u2019s new residents are conservative people sorting themselves\n<\/p>\n\nThe points in Democrats\u2019 favor could be offset by some people moving to areas that better match their existing political views.\n<\/p>\n\n\u201cAmericans often sort themselves into neighborhoods where people share similar views, which could help explain why Republicans lost fewer voters than Democrats in Nevada and Arizona,\u201d Marr said. \u201cSome of the people who left California for those states were probably frustrated by local responses to the pandemic, in addition to expensive homes and high taxes, and ready to move somewhere more conservative.\u201d\n<\/p>\n\nThe share of California voters registered as Republican has dropped 0.3 percentage points since 2020, a slightly smaller percentage drop than \u201cothers,\u201d while the share of registered Democrats has increased 0.8 percentage points.\n<\/p>\n\nNearly half (46%) of U.S. residents would feel hesitant about moving to an area where most residents have different political views from their own, according to an October Redfin survey.\n<\/p>\n\nMigration and self-sorting have contributed to Florida becoming more Republican\n<\/p>\n\nSelf-sorting is likely one reason why the Senate race in Florida, traditionally a swing state, is leaning heavily toward the Republican candidate. Registered Republicans surpassed registered Democrats there last year for the first time in history, largely due to migration. Republicans make up 36% of Florida\u2019s registered voters, unchanged from 2020, while Democrats make up 34%, down from 37% in 2020.\n<\/p>\n\nThe Sunshine State is pulling in right-leaning people from liberal parts of the country who want to live somewhere that better matches their political viewpoints. Miami and Tampa are two of the most popular destinations for relocating homebuyers, and liberal New York and Washington, D.C. are among the most common origins for people moving in.\n<\/p>\n\nPennsylvania\u2019s stability in \u201cother\u201d registrations is evidence that its rise in Arizona and Nevada may come from new residents\n<\/p>\n\nPennsylvania, another state with a tight Senate race, has seen its share of registered Democrats decline slightly since 2020, falling from 47% to 46%. Republicans have held steady at 39% of registered voters and \u201cothers\u201d have held steady at 15%.\n<\/p>\n\nPennsylvania isn\u2019t a hot migration destination\u2013in fact, more people left the state than moved in last year. Because it doesn\u2019t attract many new residents from out of state, voter registration trends in Pennsylvania provide a valuable comparison to those in Nevada and Arizona. Its share of registered Democrats has declined without a corresponding increase in registered \u201cothers,\u201d one sign that the uptick in \u201cothers\u201d in states like Arizona and Nevada is partly due to new residents.\n<\/p>\n\nTo view the full analysis, including charts and graphs, please visit:\n<\/p>\n\nhttps:\/\/www.redfin.com\/news\/migration-voter-registration-election-2022<\/a>\n<\/p>\n\nAbout Redfin\n<\/p>\n\nRedfin (www.redfin.com<\/a>) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, instant home-buying (iBuying), rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country’s #1 real-estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home can take an instant cash offer from Redfin or have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we’ve saved customers more than $1 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 6,000 people.\n<\/p>\n\nFor more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com<\/a>. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center<\/a>. To be added to Redfin’s press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com<\/a>. To view Redfin’s press center, click here<\/a>.\n<\/p>\nContacts <\/p>\n\nContact RedfinRedfin Journalist Services:Kenneth Applewhaite, 206-588-6863\npress@redfin.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Many Americans who were pushed out of pricey California moved to Nevada or Arizona in search of more affordable housing, perhaps registering as unaffiliated with a major party in the process. On the other side of the country, Florida pulled in many conservative people looking to live near others with similar views. SEATTLE–(BUSINESS WIRE)–#housingmarket–(NASDAQ: RDFN) […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[49630],"tags":[],"settori":[],"slider_categorie_and_home_page":[],"class_list":["post-831967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-real-estate-in-asia-pacific"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRedfin Reports Nevada and Arizona Lost Democrats But Gained Independents as Californians Moved In During the Pandemic - BeBeez<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bebeez.it\/en\/real-estate-in-asia-pacific\/redfin-reports-nevada-and-arizona-lost-democrats-but-gained-independents-as-californians-moved-in-during-the-pandemic\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Redfin Reports Nevada and Arizona Lost Democrats But Gained Independents as Californians Moved In During the Pandemic - BeBeez\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Many Americans who were pushed out of pricey California moved to Nevada or Arizona in search of more affordable housing, perhaps registering as unaffiliated with a major party in the process. On the other side of the country, Florida pulled in many conservative people looking to live near others with similar views. 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BeBeez","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/bebeez.it\/en\/real-estate-in-asia-pacific\/redfin-reports-nevada-and-arizona-lost-democrats-but-gained-independents-as-californians-moved-in-during-the-pandemic\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Redfin Reports Nevada and Arizona Lost Democrats But Gained Independents as Californians Moved In During the Pandemic - BeBeez","og_description":"Many Americans who were pushed out of pricey California moved to Nevada or Arizona in search of more affordable housing, perhaps registering as unaffiliated with a major party in the process. On the other side of the country, Florida pulled in many conservative people looking to live near others with similar views. 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